Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000724 0.000827 0.000937 0.001061 0.001198 0.001343 0.001510
2025-04-06 0.000556 0.000697 0.000858 0.001052 0.001279 0.001534 0.001842
2025-04-13 0.000459 0.000614 0.000799 0.001032 0.001315 0.001644 0.002054
2025-04-20 0.000405 0.000574 0.000782 0.001055 0.001397 0.001806 0.002329
2025-04-27 0.000360 0.000537 0.000764 0.001070 0.001464 0.001947 0.002577
2025-05-04 0.000314 0.000492 0.000729 0.001058 0.001493 0.002039 0.002764
2025-05-11 0.000272 0.000448 0.000691 0.001038 0.001508 0.002110 0.002925
2025-05-18 0.000248 0.000426 0.000680 0.001051 0.001566 0.002236 0.003156
2025-05-25 0.000223 0.000402 0.000662 0.001054 0.001607 0.002340 0.003360
2025-06-01 0.000192 0.000364 0.000623 0.001022 0.001598 0.002375 0.003473
2025-06-08 0.000166 0.000331 0.000587 0.000992 0.001589 0.002408 0.003582
2025-06-15 0.000150 0.000311 0.000571 0.000989 0.001618 0.002492 0.003760
2025-06-22 0.000135 0.000294 0.000556 0.000989 0.001650 0.002582 0.003952
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000274 0.000536 0.000979 0.001668 0.002653 0.004117
2025-07-06 0.000105 0.000253 0.000512 0.000960 0.001670 0.002701 0.004251
2025-07-13 0.000099 0.000247 0.000513 0.000982 0.001735 0.002840 0.004514
2025-07-20 0.000092 0.000238 0.000510 0.000996 0.001788 0.002961 0.004756
2025-07-27 0.000082 0.000223 0.000492 0.000985 0.001800 0.003023 0.004912
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000206 0.000471 0.000966 0.001798 0.003064 0.005038
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000200 0.000468 0.000979 0.001848 0.003182 0.005279
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000191 0.000460 0.000981 0.001881 0.003275 0.005484
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000174 0.000434 0.000951 0.001858 0.003282 0.005560
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000159 0.000411 0.000923 0.001837 0.003290 0.005638